Olympics 2012: One Year To Go - Which Brand Will Win The Olympic Advertising Games? ♯

With just one year to go until the Games commence, we thought it was good time to take a look at some of the debate surrounding the Olympics. We have been tracking the global English debate on the Olympics since January 2011.

Some of the key stories driving the debate included talk of claims from Iran that the 2012 Olympic logo is racist, which appeared in February and interest in June as customers began to find out whether they had been allocated tickets to the Games.

We expect the debate to increase in July as people seize the ‘one year to go’ opportunity (much as we did!) to discuss this great event. 

For this post, we will be concentrating on the Worldwide Partners; VISA, GE, Acer, Atos Origin, Coca Cola, Dow, McDonald’s, Omega, Panasonic, Procter & Gamble and Samsung. We show the spilt of the debate among these brands in the chart below. Of these competitors, VISA generated the highest volume of coverage in relation to the Olympics between the 1st January and the 30th June 2011, marginally ahead of Samsung.

Figure 1: Share-of-Buzz for Olympics Worldwide Partners in the global English debate on the Olympics

However, when mentions are weighted for influence the order changes considerably, as we show in the next chart. Although VISA still remains the most prominent partner, Coca Cola and GE move to take a close 2nd and 3rd place while Samsung is overtaken and falls to 4th place. This shows that although Samsung had a higher volume of mentions than GE and Coca Cola, it wasn't discussed among influential stakeholders as much as its competitors. 

Figure 2: Share-of-Influence for Olympics Worldwide Partners in the global English debate on the Olympics

When we break this data down by month, as shown in Figure 3, it is clear that the overall conclusions are not as simple as ‘VISA is dominating the influential debate’. We can see that interest in VISA peaked in March and has been decreasing between April and June as attention has shifted towards GE and Coca Cola.

Figure 3: Monthly Share-of-Influence trend for Olympics Worldwide Partners in the global English Olympics debate

Coca Cola drew interest during May amid discussion of the torch relay, of which it is a presenting partner.

In June, GE came to the forefront of debate among worldwide partners driven by the International Olympic Committee’s desire to make GE a top-tier sponsor.

Currently we could say that VISA has been ‘winning’ the Olympic Advertising Games, but VISA may well be usurped by GE shortly, based on the momentum GE has gained since April. With one year to go until the Olympics, it is still early days and it will be interesting to see which brands manage to make the most out of their relationship with the Games.

Lightning Strikes London! ♯

Following a couple of days of intense humidity and soaring temperatures, the heavens opened this afternoon and thunder and lightning ensued in central London. Watching on from Centre Point we managed to catch a rare glimpse of the lightning as it appears to strike scarily near the HSBC building!

Onalytica New Trends in Marketing Communications: First Seminar - Influencer Marketing ♯

The first of Onalytica’s new monthly seminars on New Trends in Marketing Communications will take place on Thursday 7th July 2011, from 3pm to 6pm at our offices in Centre Point, London.

This series of seminars will be addressing the new trends in marketing communications. The first seminar in the series will focus on: Influencer Marketing.
Influencer Marketing is a rapidly emerging discipline in Marketing Communications whereby marketing initiatives are focused more directly on key opinion formers or ‘influencers’. In other words – influence the influencers and they will influence the rest of the market for you – amplifying your message. Through Influencer Marketing - communication initiatives can be developed, executed and measured more precisely because the target group is better defined.

At this seminar you will hear from industry experts who will share their experiences of planning and executing effective Influencer Programmes. This seminar is also an excellent opportunity to network with industry colleagues.

We are very pleased to announce that there will be keynote speeches from:

• George Coleman, Executive Vice-President & Head of Client Services, Europe, Middle East and Africa for Weber Shandwick
• Gareth Lofthouse, Director, Business Research, The Economist
• Flemming Madsen, Executive Chairman and Founder of Onalytica

This is an invitation-only, free event. For more information or to RSVP, please contact Becky Hayward or Sophie Hill. Please RSVP before Tuesday June 28th.

New Release of InfluenceMonitor: New Features Summary ♯

We are happy to announce the new release of InfluenceMonitor. This new release has a number of exciting new features including:

• Corporate reputation management ability - the creation of pillars based on corporate personality types, including targets for benchmarking and evaluation.
• The facility to test new searches before committing them as a live search in the system. This provides more flexibility and aids testing of different search strings in order to achieve a more effective search, quicker. 
• The ability to filter analyses by predefined search terms, facilitating multiple analysis permutations.
• The capacity to infill incomplete data views on selected analyses, using the average of the data points already included in the analysis. 
• Dashboard tab management with menu and tab grouping to rationalise multiple dashboard scenarios.
• Notifications at dashboard, analysis and insight level so you know where and when to look for new comments and insight from the analysts.
• Improvements to the speed of analysis drilldowns.

If you would like further information on any of these new features please email me – Sophie.hill@onalytica.com.

Enhancing Marketing Effectiveness ♯

With the aim of improving cancer outcomes, the Government has commissioned M&C Saatchi to raise awareness of the signs and symptoms of bowel cancer as well as encouraging the public to go for screening. A seven-week pilot campaign was launched at the end of January this year in two southern regions of the UK, which focused on awareness of bowel cancer with the key message: Be Clear on Cancer.

We have been tracking the debate on Cancer in the UK since September 2010 and wanted to measure the initial effectiveness of this first campaign. If the campaign has been successful we would expect to see an increase in debate in relation to the overall cancer debate.

Overall cancer debate has been more elevated this year compared to the last four months of 2010; showing overall effectiveness of the campaign. The weekly trend of debate during the pilot campaign showed a steady and sharp increase in discussion between the second and fifth weeks followed by a steep decline in debate the following week, the final week of the campaign. Increased levels of discussion during the middle of the campaign were not sustained towards the end or just after the end of the campaign itself.

Taking a monthly view of the data, February marked the highest month of bowel cancer debate since tracking began and although discussion dipped in March, April marked a new high – indicating the longer term effects of the campaign.

Amplifying the Message
We can already see that the campaign has had a positive effect on the level of bowel cancer discussion, however, in order to amplify this effect what can M&C Saatchi do?

One of the first steps could be to identify what is currently driving the debate on cancer and more specifically on bowel cancer. By tapping into the current debate drivers in the discussion, your message can form part of the most current topic of interest, which will boost visibility and therefore awareness. Current topics driving the bowel cancer debate are targeted therapy, cancer research and faulty gene. An initial strategy using a combination focused on using the hot topics of the moment and discussing them, along with the key marketing messages, on identified influencer sites can only help form part of a recipe for success.

If you would like more information on how Onalytica can help you find out what is driving the debate in your industry, or who the key influencers are for your brand, product or service please feel free to contact me: sophie.hill@onalytica.com.

The Link between the Online Debate and Outcomes ♯

The referendum on the Alternative Voting system in the UK took place last week and the ‘No’ campaign won the vote. This concurs with our finding in our white paper: Using the Internet as a Market Research Database: Revelations of the UK Elections 2010; that relative share of the online debate reflects voting behaviour. In our white paper we found that changes in daily election poll results could be estimated by measuring the changes in the relative amount of online discussion. In our analysis of the global English debate on the Alternative Vote we found that the ‘No’ Campaign generated a larger share of the online debate and this indeed reflected voters’ preference in the end. 

The Official Royal Wedding Website Returns to Royally Rule the Roost ♯

At the end of March we began analysing the key influencers in the debate on the Royal Wedding and discussed how we measure influence. We followed this up towards the end of April to see how the influencers had changed.

Let’s have a final look at the top 20 most influential websites in the debate on the Royal Wedding:

Table 1: Top 20 Influential Stakeholders in the Debate on the Royal Wedding

There have been sizeable shifts in the top 20 influencers since April. The Official Royal Wedding Website managed to return to the top of the chart, after falling to rank 6th in April. Interestingly the high-ranking Australian news media outlets have fallen from the top 20 as more US news media outlets have taken their place.

We tracked a number of different topics in relation to the Wedding, such as the Cake, the Dress, Security, Westminster Abbey, Rings, Souvenirs and the Honeymoon. We found that Westminster Abbey was the most discussed, followed by the Dress, but when the voices were weighted for influence, the Dress became the key issue, followed by Security.

We analysed the debate on the royal couple and found that Kate was marginally more discussed than Prince William and also proved more popular among influential stakeholders.

Report compiled during the period 1st October 2010 – 6thMay 2011. Please email me (Sophie.hill@onalytica.com) if you would like further information on findings presented in this blog post.

Will We Have a ‘Yes To AV’ or a ‘No To AV’ in Today’s Referendum? ♯

The referendum to decide whether to introduce a new voting system to replace our current first-past-the-post system is taking place today. We have been tracking the debate on the Alternative Vote (AV) since the 1st January 2011. 

We posted our first blog on this topic on the 14th April 2011.

As might be expected, discussion of AV has increased dramatically since January and in the first five days of May there has been more debate than what was seen during the whole of March! AV is clearly a hot topic but let’s have a look at discussion of the different campaigns:

The ‘Yes To AV’ campaign generated marginally more buzz between January and March than the ‘No To AV’ campaign, however, during April ‘No To AV’ came into focus, only for the ‘Yes’ campaign to move marginally ahead during the first week of May. That said, the volume of coverage is only part of the story; the influence of the voices and the sentiment of what is being said also need to be taken into account. 

Overall, ‘No To AV’ has been slightly more discussed and has proved more popular among influential stakeholders. Interestingly, the ‘Yes To AV’ campaign has featured in more polarised coverage than the ‘No’ campaign, appearing in a sizeable proportion of negative posts and only slightly more positive posts. Whereas, when those posts are weighted for the influence of the different voices in the debate, the landscape changes dramatically; the ‘No To AV’ campaign features in 25% unfavourable debate while ‘Yes To AV’ campaign appears in only 21%. Essentially, those who are influential in the debate are discussing the ‘Yes’ campaign in a more positive light. The first five days of May have proved particularly negative for the ‘No’ campaign, but will sentiment determine the results of the referendum or will the high volume of ‘No’ discussion put that stance in the forefront of the public’s mind? In order to establish the overall picture we need to analyse the influential voices in the debate.

So let’s have a look at how the top 20 most influential websites in the global English debate on AV have changed since the last time we looked at them:

For information on how we calculate influence please see our blog post looking at the key influencers in the debate on the Royal Wedding.

There has been considerable movement in the top 20. The most noticeable change was Iain Dale’s Diary, which was knocked out of the top 20 by new entrant, the Financial Times. Although the top five stakeholders have held their rank, the rest of the top 20 has been somewhat reshuffled. Total Politics Magazine experienced the greatest increase in influence over the time period, closely followed by the Liberal Democrats Website.

At this point there are still more websites in the top 20 dedicated to the Liberal Democrats than any other party. Nevertheless, the Conservatives are indeed present in the top 20 and furthermore, both Conservative-focused websites have become more influential in the past few weeks.

It will be interesting to see if the high levels of discussion signify a No in today’s referendum or if strong sentiment and influential voices encourage a Yes from the UK electorate.

Report compiled during the period 1st January 2011 – 5th May 2011. Please email me (sophie.hill@onalytica.com) if you would like further information on findings presented in this blog post.

Who is Influential in the Debate on the Royal Wedding This Week? ♯

At the end of March we began analysing the key influencers in the debate on the Royal Wedding. Now we are going to look at how those stakeholders have changed as we approach the big event.

Influence is dynamic, in that a stakeholder can become more or less influential on a topic over time.  So who are the current top 20 most influential websites in the debate on the Royal Wedding?

Table 1: Top 20 Influential Stakeholders in the Debate on the Royal Wedding

We saw the Official Royal Wedding Website climb to the top of the chart in March, surpassing national online news media from the UK, the US and Australia. Now we have seen it fall to rank 6th, as it became less influential in the debate and was overtaken by news media outlets from the UK and the US.

Four stakeholders fell out of the top 20 between the 29th March and the 19th April 2011 including; ABC News, Celebuzz!, TMZ - Celebrity Gossip and Fox News.

As we come closer to the date of the wedding, the top 20 is becoming more and more dominated by online news media outlets as stakeholders dedicated to the Royal Wedding and celebrity gossip sites, such as the Official Royal Wedding Website and Celebuzz, are becoming less influential.

Report compiled during the period 1st October 2010 – 19th April 2011. Please email me (sophie.hill@onalytica.com) if you would like further information on findings presented in this blog post.

Who is Influential in the Debate on the Alternative Vote? ♯

The referendum to decide whether to introduce a new voting system to replace our current first-past-the-post system is fast approaching. We have been tracking the debate on the Alternative Vote (AV) since the 1st January 2011.

For information on how we calculate influence please see our blog post looking at who is influential in the debate on the Royal Wedding.

We found the top 20 most influential websites in the global English debate on AV:

Table 1: Top 20 Influential Stakeholders in the Debate on the Alternative Vote

Interestingly, at this stage, the Liberal Democrat Voice is the most influential politics-focused website. Furthermore, of the nine websites dedicated to a particular political party, five of those had a penchant for the Liberal Democrats, compared to three for the Conservatives and one for Labour. Whether this will have an effect on the results of the referendum, we will have to wait and see.

Report compiled during the period 1st January 2011 – 12th April 2011. Please email me (sophie.hill@onalytica.com) if you would like further information on findings presented in this blog post.